Dax Futures Updates

German stocks experienced a significant decline on Thursday, driven by increasing uncertainty surrounding the Middle East peace negotiations. This development followed Iran’s rejection of the U.S. proposal to pause hostilities, with Tehran asserting that any resolution to the conflict will be contingent upon its own conditions and timeline. In a recent development, an Israeli official has allegedly stated that Alireza Tangsiri, the commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy, who ‘was responsible for the closure of the Strait of Hormuz,’ has been killed in a strike in Bandar Abbas. Concerns regarding potential monetary tightening by the European Central Bank have also had a detrimental impact.

Joachim Nagel indicated that the central bank might consider an interest rate increase at its upcoming meeting in April, contingent upon the potential inflationary pressures in the Eurozone stemming from the conflict in the Middle East. ECB President Christine Lagarde stated on Wednesday that any sustained rise in inflation beyond a temporary spike may necessitate a hike in interest rates. The increase in oil prices has heightened concerns regarding inflation. Brent crude futures surged past the $100 per barrel mark today, reflecting an increase of over 3%. Germany’s equity benchmark DAX, which fell to 22,564.99, was down 271.25 points or 1.18% at 22,669.17 recently.

  • Siemens Energy experienced a decline of 4.4%. Infineon Technologies experienced a decline of approximately 3.7%, while Porsche Automobil Holding saw a decrease of 3%.
  • MTU Aero Engines, Deutsche Bank, Zalando, Rheinmetall, and Commerzbank experienced declines in the range of 2% to 2.5%.
  • SAP, Siemens, Vonovia, E.ON, Siemens Healthineers, BMW, RWE, Continental, Fresenius, Mercedes-Benz, Volkswagen, and Hannover RE experienced declines ranging from 1% to 1.7%.
  • Brenntag experienced an increase of 1.1%. BASF and Adidas saw gains of 0.6% and 0.5%, respectively.
  • Henkel experienced a 0.4% increase following the announcement that hair care brand Olaplex Holdings has entered into a definitive agreement for acquisition by the German consumer goods manufacturer.

Survey results released indicate that German consumer sentiment is poised to decline in April, driven by economic anxieties related to the conflict in Iran. The forward-looking consumer sentiment index declined to -28.0 in April, down from -24.8 in the preceding month. The projection indicated a moderate decline to -27.3. Data released by the European Central Bank indicated that private sector credit in the Eurozone experienced a marginal deceleration in growth during February, prior to the onset of the conflict in Iran.

In February, loans to the private sector grew by 3.3%, a marginal deceleration from the 3.4% rise observed in January. Adjusted loans to households recorded an annual growth rate of 3%, consistent with the rate observed in the preceding month. In the interim, the growth of loans extended to non-financial corporations decelerated to 2.9%, subsequent to a 2.8% increase observed in January.